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Showing posts with label traffic. Show all posts
Showing posts with label traffic. Show all posts

Sunday, 16 September 2012

Results 2

Normalised Aggregate Force and Fourth-Power Forces
Figure 1 is a comparative plot of the fleet normalised aggregate forces generated by the four simulation methods.
clip_image002

Figure 1: Comparison of fleet normalised aggregate force histories for each of the four simulated vehicle fleets
The ‘reference’ and ‘target’ time histories agree very well, while the time histories from the phase shifted and randomised QCM fleets appear to follow a similar pattern. This comes down to the inherent dynamics of each model; the ‘reference’ and ‘target’ histories were generated by pitch-plane models, the randomised QCMs and phase-shifted models used QCMs that lack pitch interaction and wheelbase filtering.
SRI Curves
Figure 2 and Figure 3 are comparative plots of the SRI curves generated by each of the four simulated fleets and a re-plotting of the region 0.8<SRI<1, respectively. From Figure 2 and Figure 3 it can be seen that the ‘target’ and the phase-shifted SRI curves agree well, as expected.
Due to the fact that vehicles with similar suspension characteristics correlate well with each other, all curves show a sharp peak close to the maximum value of one and a secondary peak in the region of SRI=0.85, corresponding respectively to those vehicles that are entirely air sprung and those that have leaf-sprung trailers.
clip_image004

Figure 2: Comparison plot of SRI curves for each of the four simulation methods
clip_image006

Figure 3: Comparison plot of SRI curves re-plotted for the range 0.8<SRI<1
Computation Time and Summary of Results
Table 1 provides a summary of computation time and accuracy metrics for each simulation method.
Method Simulation Time
(One Run)
[sec]
Simulation
Time
(20 years, @ 1 per week)
[days]
R2 of SRI Curves Relative to ‘Reference’ R2 of SRI Curves Relative to ‘Target’ Correlation of ATFs to ‘Reference’ Fleet Correlation of ATFs to ‘Target’ Fleet
Reference 147600 1777 1 - 1 -
Target 26000 313 0.91 1 0.99 1
Random QCM 24000 290 0.76 0.76 0.75 0.74
Phase Shifted QCM 90 1.5 0.53 0.89 0.52 0.48

Table 1: Summary of simulation time, goodness-of-fit, and correlation of normalised aggregate forces for all four simulated fleets
Although the phase-shifted method includes the overhead time of generating the ‘target’ SRI curve first (i.e., from measured data or more realistic simulations), this is a ‘one-time’ cost and the phase-shifted models still represent a significant decrease in computation time. For example, if one was simulating 20 years worth of traffic in weekly intervals, 1040 separate traffic calculations would be required. Using the randomised pitch-plane models of the ‘target fleet’ would take approximately one month of CPU time. Conversely, the phase-shifted method would require only 1.5 days of CPU time, accounting for the overhead of generating the ‘target’ SRI distribution; a 99.5% reduction in computing time.
Given the substantial computational benefit of the phase-shifting method, and the excellent agreement of the SRI statistics, it is believed that the phase-shifted QCMs are still the best available method for simulating dynamic tyre forces for whole-life pavement performance calculations in which the effects of millions of axle loads need to be simulated over the lifetime of the road surface.

Spatial repeatability 2

Spatial repeatability arises because trucks are similar in weights, dimensions, and dynamic characteristics and travel at similar speeds. As a result, each vehicle will apply its peak forces at approximately the same places along the pavement surface (Cole, Cebon 1992).
Cole et al. defined the spatial repeatability index (SRI) as the correlation coefficient between a dynamic tyre force histories,
clip_image001                                                                                                         (1)
where x and y are dynamic tyre forces histories,
mx and my are the mean forces of x and y, respectively,
and σx and σy are the standard deviations of x and y, respectively (Cole, Cebon 1992; Cole et al. 1996).
An alternate measure of spatial repeatability, suggested by Cole, is the fleet normalised aggregate tyre force,
clip_image004                                                                                                                              (2)
where
Fi,jk is the tyre force at the i-th road point due to the k-th axle of the j-th vehicle,
m is the number of axles on each vehicle,
NV is the total number of vehicles,
and clip_image007is the mean of the double sum in the numerator (Cole et al. 1996).
The fleet normalised aggregate force gives a spatial (time-domain) picture of the cumulative pattern of traffic loading.

Friday, 23 March 2012

Traffic - Introduction

Flexible pavements deform and fatigue under the repeated action of heavy vehicle traffic. Pavement design methods require accurate estimates of traffic loading. Traditionally, vehicle weight has been empirically related to decreased pavement serviceability through the Equivalent Single Axle Load (ESAL) calculated using the ‘fourth-power law’, as determined from the American Association of State Highway Officials (AASHO) Road Test (1958-1960) and codified in the AASHO Pavement Design Guide (Cebon 1999).

ESALs implicitly incorporate a road damage relationship, which is independent of the structure of the road and mode of failure. Many researchers have, therefore, questioned their use (Gillespie et al. 1993; ARA 1999; Cebon 1999). In 1987, the US Long-Term Pavement Performance (LTPP) study began a large-scale field trial to investigate the effects of design and maintenance factors on pavement performance (LTPP 2006). High standard, quality-controlled traffic data has been available from LTPP Special Pavement Studies (SPS) sites since 2006 (LTPPINFO 2009). Data from all LTPP sites was used in the creation and validation of the American Association of State Highway and Transportation Officials (AASHTO) Mechanistic-Empirical Pavement Design Guide (ME-PDG) traffic module, where axle load probability distributions are used to quantify the traffic loading (ARA 1999).

Axle load probability distributions display the probability of the weights of a particular axle or axle group measured at a given site. In the ME-PDG, the pavement distress due to an axle group is calculated using probability distributions and the assumed number of vehicles. This more realistic characterisation of traffic than the traditional ESAL approach is a useful step forward for accurate pavement damage calculations (ARA 1999; Timm et al. 2005; Haider, Harichandran 2007).

Both ESALs and axle load probability distributions assume that the axle loads generated by heavy vehicles are static and therefore constant at all points along the road. In practice, heavy vehicles vibrate in response to rough road surfaces, generating dynamically varying tyre forces. These “dynamic tyre forces” or “dynamic axle loads” are known to be repeatable in space because heavy vehicles often travel at similar speeds with similar payloads, dimensions, suspensions, and tyres (Cole, Cebon 1992; Cole et al. 1996; Collop et al. 1996).

Whole-life pavement response calculations account for repeatable loading by simulating the dynamic response of vehicles to a rough road surface (Collop, Cebon 1995). The challenge of whole-life modelling is to create the correct level of repeatability for the traffic fleet over the lifetime of the road (i.e. millions of vehicles), using a minimum amount of computation time.

This section summarises the study conducted in collaboration with the Engineering Department of the University of Cambridge in order to investigate the available methods for generating repeatable dynamic tyre forces from axle load probability distributions and to determine the most efficient approach to traffic modelling.